Tetlock and the Taliban An Essay by Richard Hanania richardhanania.substack.com How a humiliating military loss proves that so much of our so-called "expertise" is fake, and the case against specialization and intellectual diversity. The lesson of Tetlock (and the Afghanistan War), is that while you certainly shouldn’t be getting all your information from your uncle’s Facebook Wall, there is no reason to start with a strong prior that people with medical degrees know more than any intelligent person who honestly looks at the available data. What excellence is experienceacademiaexpertise
Why We Don't Do Daily Stand-Ups at Supercede An Article by Jezen Thomas jezenthomas.com Yesterday I worked on the widget. Today I will work on the widget. I have no blockers. Are you asleep yet? The developers are. You promise them an intellectually stimulating work environment and what they end up with is drudgery. What value can be had from these meetings anyway? Using “alignment” for justification is so nebulous that it is essentially meaningless. Engineers align themselves. They talk. Especially if you hire good ones (which, you know, you’ll struggle to if you have a culture of coercing them into this kind of busywork). Where does the real discussion happen? It’s written down. Why we stopped breaking down stories into tasks agile