Tetlock and the Taliban An Essay by Richard Hanania richardhanania.substack.com How a humiliating military loss proves that so much of our so-called "expertise" is fake, and the case against specialization and intellectual diversity. The lesson of Tetlock (and the Afghanistan War), is that while you certainly shouldn’t be getting all your information from your uncle’s Facebook Wall, there is no reason to start with a strong prior that people with medical degrees know more than any intelligent person who honestly looks at the available data. What excellence is experienceacademiaexpertise
Extract (n) A decoction, solution, or infusion made by dissolving out from any substance that which gives it its essential and characteristic virtue; essence. Noah Webster, Webster's Dictionary, 1913 Edition barnsworthburning.netFragmentsUpstream Color