Tetlock and the Taliban An Essay by Richard Hanania richardhanania.substack.com How a humiliating military loss proves that so much of our so-called "expertise" is fake, and the case against specialization and intellectual diversity. The lesson of Tetlock (and the Afghanistan War), is that while you certainly shouldn’t be getting all your information from your uncle’s Facebook Wall, there is no reason to start with a strong prior that people with medical degrees know more than any intelligent person who honestly looks at the available data. What excellence is experienceacademiaexpertise
Poison sniffers An Article by Austin Kleon austinkleon.com Christopher Johnson says “prescriptivists” or “Cute Curmudgeons” — people who are interested in only policing usage and grammar rules — are “linguistic poison sniffers.” They turn language into “a source of potential embarrassment rather than pleasure.” Johnson sees his job as getting people to love and appreciate language by being curious about and paying attention to “what makes language delicious.” This reminded of Olivia Laing’s distinction between identifying poison and finding nourishment. Everywhere you look these days, there are lots of poison sniffers, but very few cooking a delicious meal… Finding nourishment vs. identifying poison writinglanguage