Tetlock and the Taliban An Essay by Richard Hanania richardhanania.substack.com How a humiliating military loss proves that so much of our so-called "expertise" is fake, and the case against specialization and intellectual diversity. The lesson of Tetlock (and the Afghanistan War), is that while you certainly shouldn’t be getting all your information from your uncle’s Facebook Wall, there is no reason to start with a strong prior that people with medical degrees know more than any intelligent person who honestly looks at the available data. What excellence is experienceacademiaexpertise
Meltdown Show image 0 Show image 1 Show image 2 I created Meltdown in 2012, inspired by the 2011 earthquake in Japan. The earthquake caused an enormous tsunami, which struck and demolished the nuclear power plant in Fukushima, Japan. A massive amount of radiation was released and contaminated the environment. Ikeda Manabu, Chazen Museum of Art chazen.wisc.edu The castle takes flight