Tetlock and the Taliban An Essay by Richard Hanania richardhanania.substack.com How a humiliating military loss proves that so much of our so-called "expertise" is fake, and the case against specialization and intellectual diversity. The lesson of Tetlock (and the Afghanistan War), is that while you certainly shouldn’t be getting all your information from your uncle’s Facebook Wall, there is no reason to start with a strong prior that people with medical degrees know more than any intelligent person who honestly looks at the available data. What excellence is experienceacademiaexpertise
Evergreen notes A Definition by Andy Matuschak notes.andymatuschak.org Evergreen notes are written and organized to evolve, contribute, and accumulate over time, across projects. This is an unusual way to think about writing notes: Most people take only transient notes. Evergreen notes should be atomic Evergreen notes should be concept-oriented Evergreen notes should be densely linked Prefer associative ontologies to hierarchical taxonomies Maggie Appleton's Digital Garden notetakinglearning